5 Comments

This is such a disingenuous bullshit. Battery technologies the fastest evolving consumer tech on earth. With individual or community micro grid design of energy creation, single battery unit skin support three families. Also, it doesn’t take much imagination to create power in multiple ways so the battery is rarely needed.

Expand full comment

The Tesla warranty is ten years. So assuming the Megapacks are replaced in ten years, the cost is $9.2 trillion, or about 1/3 of total USA GDP -- every year -- forever -- to cover only the energy produced by coal-fired plants. Extrapolate that to all energy -- not just electricity but everything, including transportation, space heating, industrial processes -- and you get something like thirty times total USA GDP every year, forever.

Assuming 100% efficiency for pumped-hydro storage, and a 1,200-foot elevation difference between the reservoir and the pumps and generators, California would need only fifteen reservoirs the size of Yosemite Valley. Inserting realistic figures for efficiency and losses, the number is closer to sixty.

Using figures for the capacity of Australia's Snowy 2.0 pumped-hydro project, to provide storage for an all-electric USA energy economy would require only 9,600 of them. USA now has forty pumped hydro storage systems, mostly smaller than Snowy 2.0 -- which is nowhere near completion, and probably won't get built, even for ten times the originally-estimated cost.

More details in my new book "Where Will We Get Our Energy?"

Expand full comment
author

It all sounds wonderful until you start running the numbers. Then it all falls apart.

Expand full comment

Climate change is not nearly as scary as climate change policy.

Expand full comment
author

True that!

Expand full comment